The earnings apocalypse has not yet materialized
Traders on the floor of the NYSE, Oct. 12, 2022. Source: NYSE The first crop of earnings reports was a disappointment, but most of the early bank reports on Friday were decent, and Bank of America also reported earnings above expectations Monday morning. Thirty- five companies have reported third -quarter earnings so far. Of that group, 68.5% have beaten estimates, lower than the prior four -quarter average of 78.1% but higher than the historic average of 66.2%, according to Refinitiv. Like the second quarter, many have been anticipating an earnings apocalypse — a dramatic collapse in earnings. The evidence so far suggests a contraction but not a collapse. The third-quarter estimated earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is now 3.6%, down from 11.1% on July 1. Excluding energy, however, the growth rate drops to minus-3.1%. Those huge oil profits have concealed that nine of 11 S&P sectors have already seen downward earnings revisions. Technology has seen a substantial downwa...